Primeira Liga badgePrimeira Liga · 7 August 2026AI PICK

Estoril badgeEstorilvsFamalicao badgeFamalicao

1 - 1
Correct

Full time · 3 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
54.5%
Market said
51.0%
Edge
+3.5 pts
Best odds
1.90

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.90

LowEdge +3.5%
Our model54.5%
The market51.0%

The market underrated this by 3.5 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

Every market we called

3 of 4 right

Double Chance

X2 (Draw or Away)

Correct
Our model72.7%
The market73.5%
Edge
-0.8
Odds
1.36

Draw No Bet

Famalicao (DNB)

Edge +3.2%Void
Our model60.3%
The market57.1%
Edge
+3.2
Odds
1.75

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +3.5%Correct
Our model54.5%
The market51.0%
Edge
+3.5
Odds
1.90

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Correct
Our model53.6%
The market56.7%
Edge
-3.1
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Famalicao Win

Miss
Our model43.3%
The market46.5%
Edge
-3.2
Odds
2.15

Correct Score

Score: 0-1

Miss
Our model9.6%
The market11.0%
Edge
-1.4
Odds
9.10

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

0-1

9.6%

1-1

13.9% · actual

1-2

9.2%

We called 3 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.