Primeira Liga badgePrimeira Liga · 22 August 2026AI PICK

Estoril badgeEstorilvsRio Ave badgeRio Ave

0 - 2

Full time · 1 of 3 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
53.8%
Market said
46.2%
Edge
+7.6 pts
Best odds
2.10

The call, locked before kick-off

Both Teams To Score: No

Both Teams To Score · best price 2.10

LowEdge +7.6%
Our model53.8%
The market46.2%

The market underrated this by 7.6 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Estoril badge

Estoril

Attack28
Defence75
Form33
Rio Ave badge

Rio Ave

Attack56
Defence64
Form56

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 3 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +5.9%
Our model82.2%
The market76.3%
Edge
+5.9
Odds
1.31

Draw No Bet

Estoril (DNB)

Miss
Our model56.6%
The market66.7%
Edge
-10.1
Odds
1.50

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Edge +7.6%
Our model53.8%
The market46.2%
Edge
+7.6
Odds
2.10

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +5.4%Correct
Our model53.7%
The market48.3%
Edge
+5.4
Odds
2.00

Match Winner

Estoril Win

Miss
Our model46.5%
The market47.4%
Edge
-0.9
Odds
2.11

Correct Score

Score: 0-1

Close
Our model11.2%
The market12.9%
Edge
-1.7
Odds
7.78

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

0-1

11.2%

1-1

12.9%

0-2

10.8% · actual

We called 1 of 3 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.