Estorilvs
Rio Ave
0 - 2Full time · 1 of 3 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 53.8%
- Market said
- 46.2%
- Edge
- +7.6 pts
- Best odds
- 2.10
The call, locked before kick-off
Both Teams To Score: No
Both Teams To Score · best price 2.10
The market underrated this by 7.6 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Moderate prediction - medium confidence
How the two sides compared
Estoril
Rio Ave
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
1 of 3 right
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
- Edge
- +5.9
- Odds
- 1.31
Draw No Bet
Estoril (DNB)
- Edge
- -10.1
- Odds
- 1.50
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: No
- Edge
- +7.6
- Odds
- 2.10
Goals Over/Under
Under 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +5.4
- Odds
- 2.00
Match Winner
Estoril Win
- Edge
- -0.9
- Odds
- 2.11
Correct Score
Score: 0-1
- Edge
- -1.7
- Odds
- 7.78
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
0-1
11.2%
1-1
12.9%
0-2
10.8% · actual
We called 1 of 3 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.