Primeira Liga badgePrimeira Liga · 26 April 2026AI PICK

Estrela badgeEstrelavsFC Porto badgeFC Porto

1 - 2
Correct

Full time · 3 of 3 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
58.9%
Market said
45.5%
Edge
+13.4 pts
Best odds
2.20

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Both Teams To Score · best price 2.20

MediumEdge +13.4%
Our model58.9%
The market45.5%

The market underrated this by 13.4 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Estrela badge

Estrela

Attack40
Defence38
Form29
FC Porto badge

FC Porto

Attack59
Defence93
Form69

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 3 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +0.3%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market84.7%
Edge
+0.3
Odds
1.18

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +13.4%Correct
Our model58.9%
The market45.5%
Edge
+13.4
Odds
2.20

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Correct
Our model52.9%
The market54.1%
Edge
-1.2
Odds
1.85

Draw No Bet

Estrela (DNB)

Our model45.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-12.1
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Estrela Win

Our model37.9%
The market50.0%
Edge
-12.1
Odds
2.00

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 3 of 3 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.