Primera División badgePrimera División · 17 May 2026AI PICK

Estudiantes de Merida FC badgeEstudiantes de Merida FCvsCarabobo FC badgeCarabobo FC

0 - 2
Close

Full time · 1 of 5 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
67.5%
Market said
47.6%
Edge
+19.9 pts
Best odds
2.10

The call, locked before kick-off

Close

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 2.10

MediumEdge +19.9%
Our model67.5%
The market47.6%

The market underrated this by 19.9 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Estudiantes de Merida FC badge

Estudiantes de Merida FC

Attack60
Defence45
Form51
Carabobo FC badge

Carabobo FC

Attack71
Defence49
Form45

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 5 right, 1 close

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +9.8%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market75.2%
Edge
+9.8
Odds
1.33

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +19.9%Close
Our model67.5%
The market47.6%
Edge
+19.9
Odds
2.10

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +11.2%Miss
Our model65.8%
The market54.6%
Edge
+11.2
Odds
1.83

Match Winner

Estudiantes de Merida FC Win

Edge +27.4%Miss
Our model58.2%
The market30.8%
Edge
+27.4
Odds
3.25

Draw No Bet

Estudiantes de Merida FC (DNB)

Miss
Our model49.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-8.1
Odds
1.75

Correct Score

Score: 1-2

Edge +1.1%
Our model8.3%
The market7.2%
Edge
+1.1
Odds
13.83

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-2

8.3%

1-1

7.9%

2-1

7.9%

We called 1 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.