Primera División badgePrimera División · 24 May 2026AI PICK

Estudiantes de Merida FC badgeEstudiantes de Merida FCvsMetropolitanos FC badgeMetropolitanos FC

0 - 1
Correct

Full time · 2 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
67.1%
Market said
57.8%
Edge
+9.3 pts
Best odds
1.73

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.73

MediumEdge +9.3%
Our model67.1%
The market57.8%

The market underrated this by 9.3 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Estudiantes de Merida FC badge

Estudiantes de Merida FC

Attack52
Defence48
Form49
Metropolitanos FC badge

Metropolitanos FC

Attack44
Defence100
Form67

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 5 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +9.8%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market75.2%
Edge
+9.8
Odds
1.33

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +9.3%Correct
Our model67.1%
The market57.8%
Edge
+9.3
Odds
1.73

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +0.2%Miss
Our model55.8%
The market55.6%
Edge
+0.2
Odds
1.80

Draw No Bet

Estudiantes de Merida FC (DNB)

Miss
Our model55.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-2.1
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Estudiantes de Merida FC Win

Edge +7.9%Miss
Our model44.9%
The market37.0%
Edge
+7.9
Odds
2.70

Correct Score

Score: 1-0

Edge +1.8%
Our model13.4%
The market11.6%
Edge
+1.8
Odds
8.59

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-0

13.4%

0-1

10.9% · actual

1-1

10.7%

We called 2 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.