Primera División badgePrimera División · 6 August 2026AI PICK

Estudiantes de Merida FC badgeEstudiantes de Merida FCvsZamora FC badgeZamora FC

1 - 0
Miss

Full time · 0 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
54.5%
Market said
42.6%
Edge
+11.9 pts
Best odds
2.35

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 2.35

LowEdge +11.9%
Our model54.5%
The market42.6%

The market underrated this by 11.9 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Estudiantes de Merida FC badge

Estudiantes de Merida FC

Attack40
Defence47
Form38
Zamora FC badge

Zamora FC

Attack65
Defence69
Form53

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

0 of 5 right

Double Chance

X2 (Draw or Away)

Edge +11.0%Miss
Our model72.7%
The market61.7%
Edge
+11.0
Odds
1.62

Draw No Bet

Zamora FC (DNB)

Edge +3.2%Miss
Our model60.3%
The market57.1%
Edge
+3.2
Odds
1.75

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +11.9%Miss
Our model54.5%
The market42.6%
Edge
+11.9
Odds
2.35

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +3.6%Miss
Our model53.6%
The market50.0%
Edge
+3.6
Odds
2.00

Match Winner

Zamora FC Win

Edge +8.6%Miss
Our model43.3%
The market34.7%
Edge
+8.6
Odds
2.88

Correct Score

Score: 1-2

Miss
Our model9.5%
The market10.9%
Edge
-1.4
Odds
9.18

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-2

9.5%

1-1

13.4%

0-1

9.2%

We called 0 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.