Liga Profesional Argentina · 26 July 2026AI PICK

Estudiantes L.P.vsIndependiente

0 - 2

Miss

Full time · 3 of 5 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said: 61.2%
Market said: 42.4%
Edge: +18.8 pts
Best odds: 2.25

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Both Teams To Score · best price 2.25

MediumEdge +18.8%

Our model61.2%

The market42.4%

The market underrated this by 18.8 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Estudiantes L.P.

Attack66

Defence90

Form60

Independiente

Attack87

Defence35

Form53

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 5 right, 1 close

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Correct

Our model73.0%

The market73.5%

Edge: -0.5
Odds: 1.36

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +18.8%Miss

Our model61.2%

The market42.4%

Edge: +18.8
Odds: 2.25

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +24.9%Close

Our model58.8%

The market33.9%

Edge: +24.9
Odds: 2.88

Draw No Bet

Independiente (DNB)

Correct

Our model54.5%

The market57.1%

Edge: -2.6
Odds: 1.75

Match Winner

Independiente Win

Edge +17.3%Correct

Our model43.6%

The market26.3%

Edge: +17.3
Odds: 3.80

Correct Score

Score: 1-2

Our model9.0%

The market10.3%

Edge: -1.3
Odds: 9.67

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-2

9.0%

1-1

11.3%

2-1

7.5%

We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.

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