Estudiantes L.P.vs
Independiente Medellin
1 - 0Full time · 4 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 62.4%
- Market said
- 60.6%
- Edge
- +1.8 pts
- Best odds
- 1.65
The call, locked before kick-off
CorrectUnder 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 1.65
The market underrated this by 1.8 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Close match - low confidence
How the two sides compared
Estudiantes L.P.
Independiente Medellin
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
4 of 5 right
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
- Edge
- +6.9
- Odds
- 1.28
Goals Over/Under
Under 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +1.8
- Odds
- 1.65
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- +11.6
- Odds
- 2.20
Match Winner
Estudiantes L.P. Win
- Edge
- -7.0
- Odds
- 1.60
Draw No Bet
Estudiantes L.P. (DNB)
- Edge
- -9.1
- Odds
- 1.75
Correct Score
Score: 0-1
- Edge
- +1.6
- Odds
- 9.37
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
0-1
12.3%
1-0
10.8% · actual
1-1
10.6%
We called 4 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.