CONMEBOL Libertadores · 12 August 2026AI PICK

Estudiantes L.P.vsU. Catolica

1 - 1

Full time · 2 of 4 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said: 56.5%
Market said: 43.8%
Edge: +12.7 pts
Best odds: 2.20

The call, locked before kick-off

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 2.20

MediumEdge +12.7%

Our model56.5%

The market43.8%

The market underrated this by 12.7 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Strong prediction - high confidence

How the two sides compared

Estudiantes L.P.

Attack46

Defence80

Form53

U. Catolica

Attack100

Defence46

Form76

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 4 right, 1 close

Double Chance

X2 (Draw or Away)

Edge +29.2%Correct

Our model72.7%

The market43.5%

Edge: +29.2
Odds: 2.30

Draw No Bet

U. Catolica (DNB)

Edge +12.9%Void

Our model70.0%

The market57.1%

Edge: +12.9
Odds: 1.75

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +12.7%Close

Our model56.5%

The market43.8%

Edge: +12.7
Odds: 2.20

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +10.0%Correct

Our model54.6%

The market44.6%

Edge: +10.0
Odds: 2.25

Match Winner

U. Catolica Win

Edge +31.7%Miss

Our model51.7%

The market20.0%

Edge: +31.7
Odds: 5.00

Correct Score

Score: 1-2

Miss

Our model9.6%

The market11.0%

Edge: -1.4
Odds: 9.10

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-2

9.6%

1-1

9.0% · actual

0-2

8.0%

We called 2 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.

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