Challenge League · 15 May 2026AI PICK
Étoile Carougevs
Bellinzona
2 - 2Full time · 2 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 69.0%
- Market said
- 63.7%
- Edge
- +5.3 pts
- Best odds
- 1.57
The call, locked before kick-off
CorrectOver 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 1.57
The market underrated this by 5.3 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Moderate prediction - medium confidence
How the two sides compared
Étoile Carouge
Bellinzona
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
2 of 4 right
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
- Edge
- +0.3
- Odds
- 1.18
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +5.3
- Odds
- 1.57
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- +2.4
- Odds
- 1.58
Match Winner
Étoile Carouge Win
- Edge
- +0.3
- Odds
- 1.62
Draw No Bet
Étoile Carouge (DNB)
- Edge
- -2.1
- Odds
- 1.75
Correct Score
Score: 2-1
- Edge
- +1.1
- Odds
- 12.73
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
2-1
9.0%
1-1
7.3%
1-0
7.0%
We called 2 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.