Challenge League · 24 July 2026AI PICK
Étoile Carougevs
FC Aarau
3 - 0Full time · 0 of 4 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 55.5%
- Market said
- 37.1%
- Edge
- +18.4 pts
- Best odds
- 2.56
The call, locked before kick-off
CloseUnder 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 2.56
The market underrated this by 18.4 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Moderate prediction - medium confidence
Every market we called
0 of 4 right, 1 close
Double Chance
X2 (Draw or Away)
- Edge
- -14.0
- Odds
- 1.12
Draw No Bet
FC Aarau (DNB)
- Edge
- -1.0
- Odds
- 1.75
Goals Over/Under
Under 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +18.4
- Odds
- 2.56
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: No
- Edge
- +13.7
- Odds
- 2.38
Match Winner
FC Aarau Win
- Edge
- -26.2
- Odds
- 1.51
Correct Score
Score: 0-1
- Edge
- -1.7
- Odds
- 7.78
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
0-1
11.2%
1-1
12.9%
0-2
10.8%
We called 0 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.