Challenge League badgeChallenge League · 8 May 2026AI PICK

Étoile Carouge badgeÉtoile CarougevsFC Vaduz badgeFC Vaduz

1 - 2
Correct

Full time · 3 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
75.3%
Market said
64.5%
Edge
+10.8 pts
Best odds
1.55

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.55

High confidenceEdge +10.8%
Our model75.3%
The market64.5%

The market underrated this by 10.8 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Étoile Carouge badge

Étoile Carouge

Attack65
Defence51
Form58
FC Vaduz badge

FC Vaduz

Attack65
Defence51
Form67

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 5 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +3.0%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market82.0%
Edge
+3.0
Odds
1.22

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +10.8%Correct
Our model75.3%
The market64.5%
Edge
+10.8
Odds
1.55

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +1.7%Correct
Our model69.3%
The market67.6%
Edge
+1.7
Odds
1.48

Draw No Bet

Étoile Carouge (DNB)

Miss
Our model52.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-5.1
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Étoile Carouge Win

Miss
Our model44.9%
The market50.0%
Edge
-5.1
Odds
2.00

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.