Primera División · 22 May 2026AI PICK

Everton de VinavsCoquimbo Unido

1 - 1

Correct

Full time · 1 of 4 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said: 59.3%
Market said: 52.4%
Edge: +6.9 pts
Best odds: 1.91

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Both Teams To Score · best price 1.91

MediumEdge +6.9%

Our model59.3%

The market52.4%

The market underrated this by 6.9 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Everton de Vina

Attack44

Defence60

Form42

Coquimbo Unido

Attack54

Defence60

Form62

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 4 right, 1 close

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +11.5%Miss

Our model85.0%

The market73.5%

Edge: +11.5
Odds: 1.36

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +6.9%Correct

Our model59.3%

The market52.4%

Edge: +6.9
Odds: 1.91

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +9.4%Close

Our model52.9%

The market43.5%

Edge: +9.4
Odds: 2.30

Match Winner

Everton de Vina Win

Edge +19.1%Miss

Our model51.4%

The market32.3%

Edge: +19.1
Odds: 3.10

Draw No Bet

Everton de Vina (DNB)

Void

Our model48.0%

The market57.1%

Edge: -9.1
Odds: 1.75

Correct Score

Score: 0-1

Edge +1.4%

Our model10.9%

The market9.5%

Edge: +1.4
Odds: 10.55

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

0-1

10.9%

1-1

10.1% · actual

1-0

9.7%

We called 1 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.

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