Premier League · 22 August 2026AI PICK
Evertonvs
Crystal Palace
2 - 0Full time · 3 of 5 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 59.4%
- Market said
- 50.2%
- Edge
- +9.2 pts
- Best odds
- 1.91
The call, locked before kick-off
CloseOver 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 1.91
The market underrated this by 9.2 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Close match - low confidence
Every market we called
3 of 5 right, 1 close
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
- Edge
- +2.3
- Odds
- 1.35
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +9.2
- Odds
- 1.91
Draw No Bet
Everton (DNB)
- Edge
- -5.2
- Odds
- 1.65
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- -3.6
- Odds
- 1.70
Match Winner
Everton Win
- Edge
- -5.3
- Odds
- 2.10
Correct Score
Score: 2-1
- Edge
- -1.3
- Odds
- 10.57
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
2-1
8.2%
1-1
10.9%
1-2
8.2%
We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.