Derde Divisie · 15 August 2026AI PICK
Excelsior '31vs
Eemdijk
4 - 0Full time · 2 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 57.8%
- Market said
- 52.6%
- Edge
- +5.2 pts
- Best odds
- 1.90
The call, locked before kick-off
CorrectOver 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 1.90
The market underrated this by 5.2 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Close match - low confidence
Every market we called
2 of 5 right
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
- Edge
- +0.7
- Odds
- 1.40
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +5.2
- Odds
- 1.90
Draw No Bet
Eemdijk (DNB)
- Edge
- -1.7
- Odds
- 1.75
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- -0.9
- Odds
- 1.85
Match Winner
Eemdijk Win
- Edge
- -6.9
- Odds
- 2.00
Correct Score
Score: 1-2
- Edge
- -1.3
- Odds
- 9.81
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
1-2
8.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-1
7.8%
We called 2 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.