Derde Divisie - Saturday badgeDerde Divisie - Saturday · 25 April 2026AI PICK

Excelsior '31 badgeExcelsior '31vsHarkemase Boys badgeHarkemase Boys

0 - 1
Miss

Full time · 1 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
65.6%
Market said
52.6%
Edge
+13.0 pts
Best odds
1.90

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.90

MediumEdge +13.0%
Our model65.6%
The market52.6%

The market underrated this by 13.0 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Excelsior '31 badge

Excelsior '31

Attack50
Defence50
Form40
Harkemase Boys badge

Harkemase Boys

Attack47
Defence78
Form60

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 5 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +13.6%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market71.4%
Edge
+13.6
Odds
1.40

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +13.0%Miss
Our model65.6%
The market52.6%
Edge
+13.0
Odds
1.90

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +10.8%Miss
Our model64.9%
The market54.1%
Edge
+10.8
Odds
1.85

Draw No Bet

Excelsior '31 (DNB)

Miss
Our model53.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-4.1
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Excelsior '31 Win

Edge +2.0%Miss
Our model52.0%
The market50.0%
Edge
+2.0
Odds
2.00

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 1 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.