Tweede Divisie badgeTweede Divisie · 16 May 2026AI PICK

Excelsior Maassluis badgeExcelsior MaassluisvsAlmere City II badgeAlmere City II

0 - 1
Miss

Full time · 1 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
57.1%
Market said
54.1%
Edge
+3.0 pts
Best odds
1.85

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Both Teams To Score · best price 1.85

MediumEdge +3.0%
Our model57.1%
The market54.1%

The market underrated this by 3.0 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Excelsior Maassluis badge

Excelsior Maassluis

Attack35
Defence43
Form24
Almere City II badge

Almere City II

Attack43
Defence36
Form31

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 4 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +0.3%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market84.7%
Edge
+0.3
Odds
1.18

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +3.0%Miss
Our model57.1%
The market54.1%
Edge
+3.0
Odds
1.85

Draw No Bet

Excelsior Maassluis (DNB)

Miss
Our model48.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-9.1
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Excelsior Maassluis Win

Miss
Our model47.2%
The market48.8%
Edge
-1.6
Odds
2.05

Correct Score

Score: 0-1

Edge +1.6%
Our model12.3%
The market10.7%
Edge
+1.6
Odds
9.37

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

0-1

12.3% · actual

1-0

10.8%

1-1

10.6%

We called 1 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.