Tweede Divisie badgeTweede Divisie · 30 May 2026AI PICK

Excelsior Maassluis badgeExcelsior MaassluisvsVvsb badgeVvsb

3 - 0
Correct

Full time · 2 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
65.4%
Market said
58.8%
Edge
+6.6 pts
Best odds
1.70

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.70

MediumEdge +6.6%
Our model65.4%
The market58.8%

The market underrated this by 6.6 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Excelsior Maassluis badge

Excelsior Maassluis

Attack36
Defence46
Form29
Vvsb badge

Vvsb

Attack62
Defence84
Form73

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 5 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +3.0%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market82.0%
Edge
+3.0
Odds
1.22

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +6.6%Correct
Our model65.4%
The market58.8%
Edge
+6.6
Odds
1.70

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +9.3%Miss
Our model63.4%
The market54.1%
Edge
+9.3
Odds
1.85

Draw No Bet

Vvsb (DNB)

Miss
Our model43.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-14.1
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Vvsb Win

Edge +7.3%Miss
Our model36.7%
The market29.4%
Edge
+7.3
Odds
3.40

Correct Score

Score: 1-2

Edge +1.3%Miss
Our model9.6%
The market8.3%
Edge
+1.3
Odds
12.02

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-2

9.6%

0-1

8.4%

1-1

7.7%

We called 2 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.