Challenger Pro League badgeChallenger Pro League · 30 August 2026AI PICK

Excelsior Virton badgeExcelsior VirtonvsFrancs Borains badgeFrancs Borains

0 - 1
Miss

Full time · 3 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
58.2%
Market said
54.1%
Edge
+4.1 pts
Best odds
1.85

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.85

MediumEdge +4.1%
Our model58.2%
The market54.1%

The market underrated this by 4.1 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Strong prediction - high confidence

How the two sides compared

Excelsior Virton badge

Excelsior Virton

Attack46
Defence60
Form56
Francs Borains badge

Francs Borains

Attack94
Defence47
Form58

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 5 right

Double Chance

X2 (Draw or Away)

Edge +3.9%Correct
Our model76.4%
The market72.5%
Edge
+3.9
Odds
1.38

Draw No Bet

Francs Borains (DNB)

Edge +16.1%Correct
Our model68.7%
The market52.6%
Edge
+16.1
Odds
1.90

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +4.1%Miss
Our model58.2%
The market54.1%
Edge
+4.1
Odds
1.85

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Miss
Our model53.9%
The market60.2%
Edge
-6.3
Odds
1.66

Match Winner

Francs Borains Win

Edge +9.2%Correct
Our model51.6%
The market42.4%
Edge
+9.2
Odds
2.36

Correct Score

Score: 1-2

Miss
Our model8.4%
The market9.6%
Edge
-1.2
Odds
10.38

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-2

8.4%

1-3

7.5%

1-1

7.0%

We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.