Excelsior Virtonvs
K. Lierse S.K.
3 - 0Full time · 1 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 57.8%
- Market said
- 57.1%
- Edge
- +0.7 pts
- Best odds
- 1.75
The call, locked before kick-off
CorrectOver 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 1.75
The market underrated this by 0.7 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Moderate prediction - medium confidence
Every market we called
1 of 5 right
Double Chance
X2 (Draw or Away)
- Edge
- +8.0
- Odds
- 1.56
Draw No Bet
K. Lierse S.K. (DNB)
- Edge
- +4.9
- Odds
- 1.75
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +0.7
- Odds
- 1.75
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- -8.9
- Odds
- 1.61
Match Winner
K. Lierse S.K. Win
- Edge
- +9.1
- Odds
- 2.94
Correct Score
Score: 1-2
- Edge
- -1.4
- Odds
- 9.06
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
1-2
9.6%
1-1
11.4%
0-2
7.4%
We called 1 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.