Excelsiorvs
PSV Eindhoven
1 - 2Correct
Full time · 3 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off
- We called
- Over 2.5 Goals
- Model confidence
- 62.2%
- Markets called
- 3 of 5 right
- Final score
- 1 - 2
The call, locked before kick-off
CorrectOver 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 1.40
MediumEdge -8.8%
Our model62.2%
The market71.0%
What the model saw
Moderate prediction - medium confidence
How the two sides compared
Excelsior
Attack100
Defence59
Form100
PSV Eindhoven
Attack100
Defence38
Form61
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
3 of 5 right
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
Correct
Our model75.3%
The market83.3%
- Edge
- -8.0
- Odds
- 1.20
Draw No Bet
Excelsior (DNB)
Edge +12.6%Miss
Our model69.7%
The market57.1%
- Edge
- +12.6
- Odds
- 1.75
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
Correct
Our model62.2%
The market71.0%
- Edge
- -8.8
- Odds
- 1.40
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
Correct
Our model62.1%
The market68.0%
- Edge
- -5.9
- Odds
- 1.44
Match Winner
Excelsior Win
Edge +41.3%Miss
Our model60.3%
The market19.0%
- Edge
- +41.3
- Odds
- 5.25
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.