Eredivisie badgeEredivisie · 29 August 2026AI PICK

Excelsior badgeExcelsiorvsSparta Rotterdam badgeSparta Rotterdam

2 - 1
Correct

Full time · 4 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
73.9%
Market said
63.5%
Edge
+10.4 pts
Best odds
1.44

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.44

High confidenceEdge +10.4%
Our model73.9%
The market63.5%

The market underrated this by 10.4 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Strong prediction - high confidence

How the two sides compared

Excelsior badge

Excelsior

Attack88
Defence73
Form86
Sparta Rotterdam badge

Sparta Rotterdam

Attack56
Defence67
Form50

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

4 of 4 right

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Edge +8.5%
Our model76.1%
The market67.6%
Edge
+8.5
Odds
1.48

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +10.4%Correct
Our model73.9%
The market63.5%
Edge
+10.4
Odds
1.44

Draw No Bet

Excelsior (DNB)

Edge +17.9%Correct
Our model70.5%
The market52.6%
Edge
+17.9
Odds
1.90

Match Winner

Excelsior Win

Edge +15.7%Correct
Our model57.0%
The market41.3%
Edge
+15.7
Odds
2.42

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Correct
Our model51.8%
The market66.2%
Edge
-14.4
Odds
1.42

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 4 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.