Excelsiorvs
Utrecht
5 - 0Miss
Full time · 4 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off
- We called
- Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Model confidence
- 58.1%
- Markets called
- 4 of 5 right
- Final score
- 5 - 0
The call, locked before kick-off
MissBoth Teams To Score: Yes
Both Teams To Score · best price 1.62
MediumEdge -3.6%
Our model58.1%
The market61.7%
What the model saw
Close match - low confidence
How the two sides compared
Excelsior
Attack36
Defence48
Form27
Utrecht
Attack48
Defence63
Form47
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
4 of 5 right
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
Edge +8.1%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market76.9%
- Edge
- +8.1
- Odds
- 1.30
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
Miss
Our model58.1%
The market61.7%
- Edge
- -3.6
- Odds
- 1.62
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
Correct
Our model50.5%
The market57.8%
- Edge
- -7.3
- Odds
- 1.73
Draw No Bet
Excelsior (DNB)
Correct
Our model46.0%
The market57.1%
- Edge
- -11.1
- Odds
- 1.75
Match Winner
Excelsior Win
Correct
Our model41.8%
The market50.0%
- Edge
- -8.2
- Odds
- 2.00
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
We called 4 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.