League Two badgeLeague Two · 22 August 2026AI PICK

Exeter City badgeExeter CityvsAccrington ST badgeAccrington ST

2 - 0
Correct

Full time · 4 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
58.4%
Market said
52.5%
Edge
+5.9 pts
Best odds
1.85

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.85

MediumEdge +5.9%
Our model58.4%
The market52.5%

The market underrated this by 5.9 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Exeter City badge

Exeter City

Attack28
Defence52
Form22
Accrington ST badge

Accrington ST

Attack47
Defence100
Form57

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

4 of 4 right

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Our model70.4%

No bookmaker price published for this market

Draw No Bet

Exeter City (DNB)

Correct
Our model61.7%

No bookmaker price published for this market

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +5.9%Correct
Our model58.4%
The market52.5%
Edge
+5.9
Odds
1.85

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Edge +3.6%Correct
Our model52.7%
The market49.1%
Edge
+3.6
Odds
2.00

Match Winner

Exeter City Win

Correct
Our model47.6%
The market50.8%
Edge
-3.2
Odds
1.97

Correct Score

Score: 0-1

Miss
Our model16.5%
The market19.0%
Edge
-2.5
Odds
5.26

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

0-1

16.5%

0-0

18.2%

1-1

14.4%

We called 4 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.