FA Cup badgeFA Cup · 9 September 2026AI PICK

Exmouth badgeExmouthvsBanbury United badgeBanbury United

2 - 1
Miss

Full time · 1 of 5 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
54.7%
Market said
45.2%
Edge
+9.5 pts
Best odds
2.21

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Both Teams To Score: No

Both Teams To Score · best price 2.21

LowEdge +9.5%
Our model54.7%
The market45.2%

The market underrated this by 9.5 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Exmouth badge

Exmouth

Attack50
Defence50
Form50
Banbury United badge

Banbury United

Attack30
Defence56
Form37

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 5 right, 1 close

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Correct
Our model78.9%
The market80.6%
Edge
-1.7
Odds
1.24

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Edge +9.5%Miss
Our model54.7%
The market45.2%
Edge
+9.5
Odds
2.21

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +3.8%Close
Our model54.1%
The market50.3%
Edge
+3.8
Odds
1.99

Draw No Bet

Banbury United (DNB)

Miss
Our model54.0%
The market59.2%
Edge
-5.2
Odds
1.69

Match Winner

Banbury United Win

Miss
Our model42.6%
The market47.2%
Edge
-4.6
Odds
2.12

Correct Score

Score: 1-0

Miss
Our model12.0%
The market13.8%
Edge
-1.8
Odds
7.23

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-0

12.0%

1-1

13.9%

0-0

10.7%

We called 1 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.