Fagiano Okayamavs
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
3 - 2Full time · 2 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 61.2%
- Market said
- 56.5%
- Edge
- +4.7 pts
- Best odds
- 1.77
The call, locked before kick-off
CorrectOver 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 1.77
The market underrated this by 4.7 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Strong prediction - high confidence
How the two sides compared
Fagiano Okayama
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
2 of 5 right
Double Chance
X2 (Draw or Away)
- Edge
- +0.9
- Odds
- 1.28
Draw No Bet
Sanfrecce Hiroshima (DNB)
- Edge
- +6.7
- Odds
- 1.55
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +4.7
- Odds
- 1.77
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- -6.1
- Odds
- 1.63
Match Winner
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Win
- Edge
- +2.0
- Odds
- 2.01
Correct Score
Score: 1-2
- Edge
- -1.5
- Odds
- 8.79
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
1-2
9.9%
1-1
10.2%
0-2
9.0%
We called 2 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.