Fagiano Okayamavs
Shimizu S-pulse
2 - 0Full time · 3 of 5 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 59.4%
- Market said
- 52.4%
- Edge
- +7.0 pts
- Best odds
- 1.91
The call, locked before kick-off
MissBoth Teams To Score: Yes
Both Teams To Score · best price 1.91
The market underrated this by 7.0 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Moderate prediction - medium confidence
How the two sides compared
Fagiano Okayama
Shimizu S-pulse
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
3 of 5 right, 1 close
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
- Edge
- +11.5
- Odds
- 1.36
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- +7.0
- Odds
- 1.91
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +7.4
- Odds
- 2.20
Draw No Bet
Fagiano Okayama (DNB)
- Edge
- -7.1
- Odds
- 1.75
Match Winner
Fagiano Okayama Win
- Edge
- +9.2
- Odds
- 2.45
Correct Score
Score: 0-1
- Edge
- +1.3
- Odds
- 11.16
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
0-1
10.3%
1-0
10.3%
1-1
10.1%
We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.