J1 League badgeJ1 League · 15 August 2026AI PICK

Fagiano Okayama badgeFagiano OkayamavsV-varen Nagasaki badgeV-varen Nagasaki

1 - 0
Miss

Full time · 2 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
53.7%
Market said
45.1%
Edge
+8.6 pts
Best odds
2.10

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 2.10

LowEdge +8.6%
Our model53.7%
The market45.1%

The market underrated this by 8.6 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Fagiano Okayama badge

Fagiano Okayama

Attack50
Defence50
Form50
V-varen Nagasaki badge

V-varen Nagasaki

Attack50
Defence50
Form50

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 4 right

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Our model72.1%
The market75.2%
Edge
-3.1
Odds
1.33

Draw No Bet

Fagiano Okayama (DNB)

Edge +4.9%Correct
Our model62.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
+4.9
Odds
1.75

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +8.6%Miss
Our model53.7%
The market45.1%
Edge
+8.6
Odds
2.10

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +0.7%Miss
Our model52.8%
The market52.1%
Edge
+0.7
Odds
1.91

Match Winner

Fagiano Okayama Win

Correct
Our model43.1%
The market46.5%
Edge
-3.4
Odds
2.15

Correct Score

Score: 2-1

Miss
Our model9.1%
The market10.4%
Edge
-1.3
Odds
9.57

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-1

9.1%

1-1

13.7%

1-0

8.5% · actual

We called 2 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.