Premier League badgePremier League · 22 August 2026AI PICK

Fakel badgeFakelvsFC Orenburg badgeFC Orenburg

0 - 0
Miss

Full time · 0 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
53.8%
Market said
52.5%
Edge
+1.3 pts
Best odds
1.83

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Both Teams To Score · best price 1.83

LowEdge +1.3%
Our model53.8%
The market52.5%

The market underrated this by 1.3 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Fakel badge

Fakel

Attack46
Defence54
Form31
FC Orenburg badge

FC Orenburg

Attack48
Defence50
Form51

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

0 of 4 right

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Our model66.2%
The market69.4%
Edge
-3.2
Odds
1.44

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +1.3%Miss
Our model53.8%
The market52.5%
Edge
+1.3
Odds
1.83

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +9.6%Miss
Our model53.7%
The market44.1%
Edge
+9.6
Odds
2.24

Draw No Bet

Fakel (DNB)

Miss
Our model50.1%
The market53.5%
Edge
-3.4
Odds
1.87

Match Winner

Fakel Win

Miss
Our model33.8%
The market38.0%
Edge
-4.2
Odds
2.63

Correct Score

Score: 2-1

Miss
Our model8.6%
The market9.9%
Edge
-1.3
Odds
10.15

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-1

8.6%

1-1

13.8%

0-0

8.3% · actual

We called 0 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.