Superettan · 13 May 2026AI PICK

Falkenbergs FFvsVarbergs BoIS FC

0 - 3

Correct

Full time · 2 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said: 68.9%
Market said: 54.1%
Edge: +14.8 pts
Best odds: 1.85

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.85

MediumEdge +14.8%

Our model68.9%

The market54.1%

The market underrated this by 14.8 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Falkenbergs FF

Attack66

Defence99

Form80

Varbergs BoIS FC

Attack47

Defence76

Form61

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 5 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +7.5%Correct

Our model85.0%

The market77.5%

Edge: +7.5
Odds: 1.29

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +14.8%Correct

Our model68.9%

The market54.1%

Edge: +14.8
Odds: 1.85

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +4.5%Miss

Our model65.1%

The market60.6%

Edge: +4.5
Odds: 1.65

Match Winner

Falkenbergs FF Win

Edge +22.0%Miss

Our model60.5%

The market38.5%

Edge: +22.0
Odds: 2.60

Draw No Bet

Falkenbergs FF (DNB)

Edge +0.9%Miss

Our model58.0%

The market57.1%

Edge: +0.9
Odds: 1.75

Correct Score

Score: 2-1

Edge +1.2%

Our model9.3%

The market8.1%

Edge: +1.2
Odds: 12.42

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-1

9.3%

1-0

7.3%

1-1

7.2%

We called 2 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.

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