Premiership badgePremiership · 2 May 2026AI PICK

Falkirk badgeFalkirkvsMotherwell badgeMotherwell

1 - 0
Miss

Full time · 3 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
72.3%
Market said
52.4%
Edge
+19.9 pts
Best odds
1.91

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.91

High confidenceEdge +19.9%
Our model72.3%
The market52.4%

The market underrated this by 19.9 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Falkirk badge

Falkirk

Attack70
Defence37
Form49
Motherwell badge

Motherwell

Attack63
Defence61
Form53

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 5 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +9.8%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market75.2%
Edge
+9.8
Odds
1.33

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +19.9%Miss
Our model72.3%
The market52.4%
Edge
+19.9
Odds
1.91

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +7.8%Miss
Our model67.7%
The market59.9%
Edge
+7.8
Odds
1.67

Draw No Bet

Falkirk (DNB)

Correct
Our model53.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-4.1
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Falkirk Win

Correct
Our model43.8%
The market50.0%
Edge
-6.2
Odds
2.00

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.