Falkirkvs
ST Mirren
0 - 2Close
Full time · 3 of 5 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 59.5%
- Market said
- 54.4%
- Edge
- +5.1 pts
- Best odds
- 1.80
The call, locked before kick-off
CloseOver 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 1.80
MediumEdge +5.1%
Our model59.5%
The market54.4%
The market underrated this by 5.1 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Moderate prediction - medium confidence
Every market we called
3 of 5 right, 1 close
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
Correct
Our model74.8%
The market78.1%
- Edge
- -3.3
- Odds
- 1.28
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
Edge +5.1%Close
Our model59.5%
The market54.4%
- Edge
- +5.1
- Odds
- 1.80
Draw No Bet
ST Mirren (DNB)
Correct
Our model56.2%
The market57.1%
- Edge
- -0.9
- Odds
- 1.75
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
Miss
Our model53.8%
The market58.5%
- Edge
- -4.7
- Odds
- 1.70
Match Winner
ST Mirren Win
Edge +14.2%Correct
Our model43.6%
The market29.4%
- Edge
- +14.2
- Odds
- 3.40
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.