FAPvs
Grafičar
3 - 1Full time · 4 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 56.7%
- Market said
- 51.0%
- Edge
- +5.7 pts
- Best odds
- 1.96
The call, locked before kick-off
CorrectBoth Teams To Score: Yes
Both Teams To Score · best price 1.96
The market underrated this by 5.7 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Moderate prediction - medium confidence
How the two sides compared
FAP
Grafičar
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
4 of 4 right
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
- Edge
- +7.5
- Odds
- 1.29
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- +5.7
- Odds
- 1.96
Draw No Bet
FAP (DNB)
- Edge
- -2.1
- Odds
- 1.75
Match Winner
FAP Win
- Edge
- +6.1
- Odds
- 2.60
Correct Score
Score: 1-0
- Edge
- +1.7
- Odds
- 8.86
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
1-0
13.0%
1-1
10.4%
0-1
10.0%
We called 4 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.