Segunda Liga badgeSegunda Liga · 23 May 2026AI PICK

Farense badgeFarensevsCF Os Belenenses badgeCF Os Belenenses

1 - 0
Miss

Full time · 1 of 3 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
58.2%
Market said
50.0%
Edge
+8.2 pts
Best odds
2.00

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Both Teams To Score · best price 2.00

MediumEdge +8.2%
Our model58.2%
The market50.0%

The market underrated this by 8.2 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Farense badge

Farense

Attack41
Defence66
Form42
CF Os Belenenses badge

CF Os Belenenses

Attack71
Defence51
Form58

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 3 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +9.8%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market75.2%
Edge
+9.8
Odds
1.33

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +8.2%Miss
Our model58.2%
The market50.0%
Edge
+8.2
Odds
2.00

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +8.5%Miss
Our model52.9%
The market44.4%
Edge
+8.5
Odds
2.25

Draw No Bet

CF Os Belenenses (DNB)

Our model43.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-14.1
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

CF Os Belenenses Win

Edge +13.1%
Our model40.9%
The market27.8%
Edge
+13.1
Odds
3.60

Correct Score

Score: 0-1

Edge +1.5%
Our model12.0%
The market10.5%
Edge
+1.5
Odds
9.55

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

0-1

12.0%

1-1

9.7%

1-2

9.7%

We called 1 of 3 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.