Segunda Liga badgeSegunda Liga · 24 August 2026AI PICK

Farense badgeFarensevsFelgueiras 1932 badgeFelgueiras 1932

1 - 1
Correct

Full time · 3 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
53.8%
Market said
49.3%
Edge
+4.5 pts
Best odds
2.00

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Both Teams To Score · best price 2.00

LowEdge +4.5%
Our model53.8%
The market49.3%

The market underrated this by 4.5 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Farense badge

Farense

Attack70
Defence25
Form47
Felgueiras 1932 badge

Felgueiras 1932

Attack57
Defence57
Form46

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 4 right

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Correct
Our model72.6%
The market80.6%
Edge
-8.0
Odds
1.24

Draw No Bet

Farense (DNB)

Void
Our model60.6%
The market60.6%
Edge
0.0
Odds
1.65

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +4.5%Correct
Our model53.8%
The market49.3%
Edge
+4.5
Odds
2.00

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Correct
Our model53.7%
The market60.5%
Edge
-6.8
Odds
1.60

Match Winner

Farense Win

Miss
Our model42.1%
The market50.0%
Edge
-7.9
Odds
2.00

Correct Score

Score: 1-0

Miss
Our model9.6%
The market11.0%
Edge
-1.4
Odds
9.10

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-0

9.6%

1-1

13.9% · actual

2-1

9.2%

We called 3 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.