FBC Melgarvs
Alianza Atletico
3 - 1Full time · 5 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 59.7%
- Market said
- 50.0%
- Edge
- +9.7 pts
- Best odds
- 2.00
The call, locked before kick-off
CorrectBoth Teams To Score: Yes
Both Teams To Score · best price 2.00
The market underrated this by 9.7 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Moderate prediction - medium confidence
How the two sides compared
FBC Melgar
Alianza Atletico
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
5 of 5 right
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
- Edge
- +5.0
- Odds
- 1.25
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- +9.7
- Odds
- 2.00
Match Winner
FBC Melgar Win
- Edge
- -6.8
- Odds
- 1.57
Draw No Bet
FBC Melgar (DNB)
- Edge
- -1.1
- Odds
- 1.75
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +6.4
- Odds
- 2.05
Correct Score
Score: 1-0
- Edge
- +1.4
- Odds
- 10.42
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
1-0
11.0%
1-1
9.5%
2-1
9.5%
We called 5 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.