Primera División · 23 August 2026AI PICK
FBC Melgarvs
Alianza Lima
1 - 1Full time · 1 of 3 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 53.7%
- Market said
- 43.8%
- Edge
- +9.9 pts
- Best odds
- 2.20
The call, locked before kick-off
CloseOver 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 2.20
The market underrated this by 9.9 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Close match - low confidence
How the two sides compared
FBC Melgar
Alianza Lima
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
1 of 3 right, 1 close
Double Chance
1X (Home or Draw)
- Edge
- -14.0
- Odds
- 1.19
Draw No Bet
FBC Melgar (DNB)
- Edge
- -9.6
- Odds
- 1.47
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +9.9
- Odds
- 2.20
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- +2.3
- Odds
- 2.00
Match Winner
FBC Melgar Win
- Edge
- -6.7
- Odds
- 2.05
Correct Score
Score: 2-1
- Edge
- -1.4
- Odds
- 9.14
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
2-1
9.5%
1-1
11.9% · actual
2-0
7.3%
We called 1 of 3 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.