Primera División badgePrimera División · 3 May 2026AI PICK

FBC Melgar badgeFBC MelgarvsUTC Cajamarca badgeUTC Cajamarca

2 - 0
Miss

Full time · 3 of 5 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
62.1%
Market said
50.0%
Edge
+12.1 pts
Best odds
2.00

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Both Teams To Score · best price 2.00

MediumEdge +12.1%
Our model62.1%
The market50.0%

The market underrated this by 12.1 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

FBC Melgar badge

FBC Melgar

Attack58
Defence47
Form48
UTC Cajamarca badge

UTC Cajamarca

Attack53
Defence50
Form48

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 5 right, 1 close

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +3.0%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market82.0%
Edge
+3.0
Odds
1.22

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +12.1%Miss
Our model62.1%
The market50.0%
Edge
+12.1
Odds
2.00

Match Winner

FBC Melgar Win

Edge +10.9%Correct
Our model60.9%
The market50.0%
Edge
+10.9
Odds
2.00

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +5.5%Close
Our model59.6%
The market54.1%
Edge
+5.5
Odds
1.85

Draw No Bet

FBC Melgar (DNB)

Correct
Our model53.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-4.1
Odds
1.75

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.