Challenge League · 7 April 2026AI PICK
FC Aarauvs
Étoile Carouge
1 - 3Miss
Full time · 0 of 3 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 55.9%
- Market said
- 50.0%
- Edge
- +5.9 pts
- Best odds
- 2.00
The call, locked before kick-off
MissFC Aarau Win
Match Winner · best price 2.00
MediumEdge +5.9%
Our model55.9%
The market50.0%
The market underrated this by 5.9 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Double chance : FC Aarau or draw
How the two sides compared
FC Aarau
Attack71
Defence76
Form87
Étoile Carouge
Attack41
Defence76
Form67
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
0 of 3 right
Double Chance
1X (Home or Draw)
Edge +18.6%Miss
Our model90.0%
The market71.4%
- Edge
- +18.6
- Odds
- 1.40
Match Winner
FC Aarau Win
Edge +5.9%Miss
Our model55.9%
The market50.0%
- Edge
- +5.9
- Odds
- 2.00
Draw No Bet
FC Aarau (DNB)
Miss
Our model45.0%
The market57.1%
- Edge
- -12.1
- Odds
- 1.75
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
We called 0 of 3 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.