Challenge League badgeChallenge League · 1 August 2026AI PICK

FC Aarau badgeFC AarauvsStade Lausanne-Ouchy badgeStade Lausanne-Ouchy

1 - 1
Close

Full time · 1 of 4 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
71.2%
Market said
70.5%
Edge
+0.7 pts
Best odds
1.34

The call, locked before kick-off

Close

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.34

High confidenceEdge +0.7%
Our model71.2%
The market70.5%

The market underrated this by 0.7 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

FC Aarau badge

FC Aarau

Attack31
Defence47
Form29
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy badge

Stade Lausanne-Ouchy

Attack47
Defence89
Form71

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 4 right, 1 close

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Miss
Our model74.8%
The market84.7%
Edge
-9.9
Odds
1.18

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +0.7%Close
Our model71.2%
The market70.5%
Edge
+0.7
Odds
1.34

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +0.9%Correct
Our model71.0%
The market70.1%
Edge
+0.9
Odds
1.36

Draw No Bet

Stade Lausanne-Ouchy (DNB)

Void
Our model56.2%
The market57.1%
Edge
-0.9
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Stade Lausanne-Ouchy Win

Edge +12.2%Miss
Our model43.6%
The market31.4%
Edge
+12.2
Odds
3.18

Correct Score

Score: 1-2

Miss
Our model8.8%
The market10.1%
Edge
-1.3
Odds
9.90

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-2

8.8%

1-1

9.5% · actual

2-2

7.0%

We called 1 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.