Challenge League badgeChallenge League · 15 May 2026AI PICK

FC Aarau badgeFC AarauvsYverdon Sport badgeYverdon Sport

2 - 2
Correct

Full time · 2 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
83.1%
Market said
68.5%
Edge
+14.6 pts
Best odds
1.46

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.46

High confidenceEdge +14.6%
Our model83.1%
The market68.5%

The market underrated this by 14.6 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

FC Aarau badge

FC Aarau

Attack82
Defence51
Form69
Yverdon Sport badge

Yverdon Sport

Attack71
Defence57
Form60

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 4 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +0.3%Miss
Our model85.0%
The market84.7%
Edge
+0.3
Odds
1.18

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +14.6%Correct
Our model83.1%
The market68.5%
Edge
+14.6
Odds
1.46

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +5.9%Correct
Our model72.6%
The market66.7%
Edge
+5.9
Odds
1.50

Draw No Bet

FC Aarau (DNB)

Void
Our model54.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-3.1
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

FC Aarau Win

Miss
Our model45.3%
The market70.4%
Edge
-25.1
Odds
1.42

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 2 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.