Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D badgeCampeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D · 18 April 2026AI PICK

FC Alverca II badgeFC Alverca IIvsComércio Indústria badgeComércio Indústria

5 - 0
Correct

Full time · 3 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
57.3%
Market said
50.0%
Edge
+7.3 pts
Best odds
2.00

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

FC Alverca II Win

Match Winner · best price 2.00

MediumEdge +7.3%
Our model57.3%
The market50.0%

The market underrated this by 7.3 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Strong prediction - high confidence

How the two sides compared

FC Alverca II badge

FC Alverca II

Attack60
Defence66
Form64
Comércio Indústria badge

Comércio Indústria

Attack33
Defence42
Form18

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 4 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +13.6%
Our model85.0%
The market71.4%
Edge
+13.6
Odds
1.40

Draw No Bet

FC Alverca II (DNB)

Edge +4.9%Correct
Our model62.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
+4.9
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

FC Alverca II Win

Edge +7.3%Correct
Our model57.3%
The market50.0%
Edge
+7.3
Odds
2.00

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +4.6%Correct
Our model57.2%
The market52.6%
Edge
+4.6
Odds
1.90

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Miss
Our model53.8%
The market54.1%
Edge
-0.3
Odds
1.85

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 3 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.