Primera División RFEF - Group 2 badgePrimera División RFEF - Group 2 · 8 May 2026AI PICK

FC Cartagena badgeFC CartagenavsAlcorcon badgeAlcorcon

2 - 1
Close

Full time · 4 of 5 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
62.3%
Market said
61.3%
Edge
+1.0 pts
Best odds
1.63

The call, locked before kick-off

Close

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.63

MediumEdge +1.0%
Our model62.3%
The market61.3%

The market underrated this by 1.0 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

FC Cartagena badge

FC Cartagena

Attack43
Defence68
Form58
Alcorcon badge

Alcorcon

Attack55
Defence63
Form47

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

4 of 5 right, 1 close

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +6.3%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market78.7%
Edge
+6.3
Odds
1.27

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +1.0%Close
Our model62.3%
The market61.3%
Edge
+1.0
Odds
1.63

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Correct
Our model52.4%
The market52.9%
Edge
-0.5
Odds
1.89

Draw No Bet

FC Cartagena (DNB)

Correct
Our model47.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-10.1
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

FC Cartagena Win

Correct
Our model45.9%
The market50.0%
Edge
-4.1
Odds
2.00

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 4 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.