Primera División RFEF - Group 2 badgePrimera División RFEF - Group 2 · 26 April 2026AI PICK

FC Cartagena badgeFC CartagenavsGimnastic badgeGimnastic

1 - 0
Correct

Full time · 4 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
78.3%
Market said
60.6%
Edge
+17.7 pts
Best odds
1.65

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.65

High confidenceEdge +17.7%
Our model78.3%
The market60.6%

The market underrated this by 17.7 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

FC Cartagena badge

FC Cartagena

Attack37
Defence55
Form49
Gimnastic badge

Gimnastic

Attack34
Defence48
Form33

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

4 of 4 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +8.1%
Our model85.0%
The market76.9%
Edge
+8.1
Odds
1.30

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +17.7%Correct
Our model78.3%
The market60.6%
Edge
+17.7
Odds
1.65

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Edge +8.8%Correct
Our model64.4%
The market55.6%
Edge
+8.8
Odds
1.80

Match Winner

FC Cartagena Win

Edge +8.6%Correct
Our model58.6%
The market50.0%
Edge
+8.6
Odds
2.00

Draw No Bet

FC Cartagena (DNB)

Correct
Our model53.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-4.1
Odds
1.75

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 4 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.