Major League Soccer badgeMajor League Soccer · 25 April 2026AI PICK

FC Cincinnati badgeFC CincinnativsNew York Red Bulls badgeNew York Red Bulls

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Full time · 3 of 5 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
76.1%
Market said
65.4%
Edge
+10.7 pts
Best odds
1.53

The call, locked before kick-off

Close

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.53

High confidenceEdge +10.7%
Our model76.1%
The market65.4%

The market underrated this by 10.7 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

FC Cincinnati badge

FC Cincinnati

Attack71
Defence43
Form47
New York Red Bulls badge

New York Red Bulls

Attack52
Defence34
Form41

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 5 right, 1 close

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +5.0%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market80.0%
Edge
+5.0
Odds
1.25

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +10.7%Close
Our model76.1%
The market65.4%
Edge
+10.7
Odds
1.53

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +1.6%Miss
Our model68.3%
The market66.7%
Edge
+1.6
Odds
1.50

Match Winner

FC Cincinnati Win

Edge +13.8%Correct
Our model63.8%
The market50.0%
Edge
+13.8
Odds
2.00

Draw No Bet

FC Cincinnati (DNB)

Correct
Our model57.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-0.1
Odds
1.75

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.