Major League Soccer badgeMajor League Soccer · 23 April 2026AI PICK

FC Dallas badgeFC DallasvsMinnesota United FC badgeMinnesota United FC

0 - 1
Miss

Full time · 1 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
71.7%
Market said
58.8%
Edge
+12.9 pts
Best odds
1.70

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.70

High confidenceEdge +12.9%
Our model71.7%
The market58.8%

The market underrated this by 12.9 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Strong prediction - high confidence

How the two sides compared

FC Dallas badge

FC Dallas

Attack73
Defence69
Form62
Minnesota United FC badge

Minnesota United FC

Attack40
Defence58
Form55

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 5 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +6.9%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market78.1%
Edge
+6.9
Odds
1.28

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +12.9%Miss
Our model71.7%
The market58.8%
Edge
+12.9
Odds
1.70

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +1.1%Miss
Our model64.8%
The market63.7%
Edge
+1.1
Odds
1.57

Draw No Bet

FC Dallas (DNB)

Edge +4.9%Miss
Our model62.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
+4.9
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

FC Dallas Win

Edge +3.6%Miss
Our model53.6%
The market50.0%
Edge
+3.6
Odds
2.00

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 1 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.