Major League Soccer badgeMajor League Soccer · 10 May 2026AI PICK

FC Dallas badgeFC DallasvsReal Salt Lake badgeReal Salt Lake

3 - 1
Correct

Full time · 5 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
70.9%
Market said
65.4%
Edge
+5.5 pts
Best odds
1.53

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.53

High confidenceEdge +5.5%
Our model70.9%
The market65.4%

The market underrated this by 5.5 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

FC Dallas badge

FC Dallas

Attack54
Defence70
Form51
Real Salt Lake badge

Real Salt Lake

Attack57
Defence54
Form60

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

5 of 5 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +6.9%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market78.1%
Edge
+6.9
Odds
1.28

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +5.5%Correct
Our model70.9%
The market65.4%
Edge
+5.5
Odds
1.53

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Correct
Our model67.3%
The market69.4%
Edge
-2.1
Odds
1.44

Draw No Bet

FC Dallas (DNB)

Correct
Our model51.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-6.1
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

FC Dallas Win

Edge +0.9%Correct
Our model50.9%
The market50.0%
Edge
+0.9
Odds
2.00

Correct Score

Score: 2-1

Edge +1.0%
Our model8.0%
The market7.0%
Edge
+1.0
Odds
14.32

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-1

8.0%

1-2

7.6%

2-2

7.2%

We called 5 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.