Premier League badgePremier League · 29 August 2026AI PICK

FC Krasnodar badgeFC KrasnodarvsFC Rostov badgeFC Rostov

1 - 0
Miss

Full time · 2 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
58.2%
Market said
49.4%
Edge
+8.8 pts
Best odds
1.99

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.99

MediumEdge +8.8%
Our model58.2%
The market49.4%

The market underrated this by 8.8 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

FC Krasnodar badge

FC Krasnodar

Attack75
Defence81
Form74
FC Rostov badge

FC Rostov

Attack63
Defence43
Form49

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 4 right

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Our model71.6%
The market84.7%
Edge
-13.1
Odds
1.18

Draw No Bet

FC Krasnodar (DNB)

Correct
Our model63.8%
The market77.5%
Edge
-13.7
Odds
1.29

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +8.8%Miss
Our model58.2%
The market49.4%
Edge
+8.8
Odds
1.99

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +3.0%Miss
Our model53.9%
The market50.9%
Edge
+3.0
Odds
1.89

Match Winner

FC Krasnodar Win

Correct
Our model50.0%
The market59.9%
Edge
-9.9
Odds
1.67

Correct Score

Score: 2-1

Miss
Our model8.3%
The market9.6%
Edge
-1.3
Odds
10.44

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-1

8.3%

1-1

8.2%

2-2

7.1%

We called 2 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.