UEFA Europa Conference League badgeUEFA Europa Conference League · 23 July 2026AI PICK

FC Lugano badgeFC LuganovsDukagjini badgeDukagjini

1 - 0
Miss

Full time · 2 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
61.2%
Market said
33.3%
Edge
+27.9 pts
Best odds
3.00

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Both Teams To Score · best price 3.00

MediumEdge +27.9%
Our model61.2%
The market33.3%

The market underrated this by 27.9 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

FC Lugano badge

FC Lugano

Attack54
Defence46
Form42
Dukagjini badge

Dukagjini

Attack44
Defence56
Form44

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 4 right

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Our model73.0%
The market99.0%
Edge
-26.0
Odds
1.01

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +27.9%Miss
Our model61.2%
The market33.3%
Edge
+27.9
Odds
3.00

Draw No Bet

FC Lugano (DNB)

Correct
Our model56.1%
The market57.1%
Edge
-1.0
Odds
1.75

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Miss
Our model55.5%
The market58.8%
Edge
-3.3
Odds
1.70

Match Winner

FC Lugano Win

Correct
Our model51.2%
The market85.5%
Edge
-34.3
Odds
1.17

Correct Score

Score: 2-1

Miss
Our model9.5%
The market10.9%
Edge
-1.4
Odds
9.14

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-1

9.5%

1-1

11.9%

2-0

7.3%

We called 2 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.