FC Luganovs
FC Vaduz
2 - 1Correct
Full time · 5 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 69.4%
- Market said
- 64.3%
- Edge
- +5.1 pts
- Best odds
- 1.50
The call, locked before kick-off
CorrectOver 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 1.50
MediumEdge +5.1%
Our model69.4%
The market64.3%
The market underrated this by 5.1 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Close match - low confidence
Every market we called
5 of 5 right
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
Correct
Our model75.3%
The market85.5%
- Edge
- -10.2
- Odds
- 1.17
Draw No Bet
FC Lugano (DNB)
Edge +13.7%Correct
Our model70.8%
The market57.1%
- Edge
- +13.7
- Odds
- 1.75
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
Edge +5.1%Correct
Our model69.4%
The market64.3%
- Edge
- +5.1
- Odds
- 1.50
Match Winner
FC Lugano Win
Correct
Our model64.1%
No bookmaker price published for this market
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
Correct
Our model53.3%
The market59.2%
- Edge
- -5.9
- Odds
- 1.67
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
We called 5 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.